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Lots of Debate about AI Impact on Jobs

Opinion: There is a lot of debate over which jobs will be most impacted or replaced. Unless you are "off the grid" you are probably already using AI assisted resources. Years back, I heard someone say that everything you can do in 2 minutes will eventually be done by AI. If your job changed after the internet became common, you can expect to be affected twice as much by AI. Remember: GIGO (Garbage In - Garbage Out) principle.

Artificial Intelligence is booming – but how will it impact your career? "Certain roles are more vulnerable ... highly repetitive or based on very specific instructions or rules that lay out what needs to be done. On the flipside, tasks that change often and therefore require things like adaptability and flexibility are harder for technology to replace. Jobs with a strong human element — such as being a therapist — are especially unlikely to be taken over by technology, according to Dimitris Papanikloaou, a professor of finance at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University. “Jobs that emphasize interpersonal skills are much harder to be replaced by an AI,” he says."
Impact of AI on future job roles " AI will not be able to replace all jobs, and we have to remain firm in our understanding of that. A number of specific profiles are available that require a high level of creativity, empathic work, and last-minute complex political frameworks. Teachers, writers, designers, lawyers, social workers, defense people, medical professionals, and others cannot be substituted with artificial intelligence or robots for any reason."

Jobs at risk?

Blog Post: 10 Jobs AI Might Soon Replace (And Those That It Won't) (sensoriumxr.com)
Jobs at risk:
1. Customer Service Representatives
2. Receptionists
3. Accountants/ Bookkeepers
4. Salespeople
5. Taxi and Truck Drivers
6. Retail Services
7. Proofreaders and Translators
8. Security and Military Personnel
9. Surgical Assistants
10. Courier Services
Jobs AI can't replace yet:
1. Chief Executive Officers (CEOs)
2. Lawyers
3. Graphic Designers
4. Editors
5. Computer Scientists and Software Developers
6. PR Managers
7. Event Planners
8. Marketing Managers
9. Teachers and Educators
10. Writers and Authors
Rising Possibilities
1. Data Scientist
2. Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning Engineers
3. Data Labeling Professionals
4. Hardware Specialists For Artificial Intelligence

Table Of Contents: Artificial Intelligence (AI) News

Jobs most impacted?

Which Jobs Will AI Replace? These 4 Industries Will Be Heavily Impacted (forbes.com)
Most impacted
Finance and banking
Legal services
Media and marketing
Programming and writing skills
Least Impacted
Agriculture
Healthcare
Manufacturing and factory workers
Mining
Global Economics Analyst The Potentially Large Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Economic Growth (Briggs/Kodnani)
Estimate that one-fourth of current work tasks could be automated by AI in the US
High impact on administrative and legal professions
Least impact on construction and maintenance professions.
See page 7

More Opinions on Jobs and AI

ChatGPT may be coming for our jobs. Here are the 10 roles that AI is most likely to replace (businessinsider.com).
Highest-risk for replacement by AI
1) Tech jobs (Coders, computer programmers, software engineers, data analysts)
2) Media jobs (advertising, content creation, technical writing, journalism)
3) Legal industry jobs (paralegals, legal assistants)
4) Market research analysts
5) Teachers
6) Finance jobs (Financial analysts, personal financial advisors)
7) Traders
8) Graphic designers
9) Accountants
10) Customer service agents

The impact of AI on tasks happens through four channels:

The impact of AI on tasks happens through four channels: (/thegradient.pub)

The task-based model - Excerpt:

First, there is displacement, when an AI system replaces some of the tasks that were previously performed by humans. An example of this would be the book reviews that were displaced when Amazon adopted its automatic recommender (and laid off its book reviewers, although some have now made it back to the company). This will reduce demand for labor.
Second, there is augmentation when an AI system increases the value of the tasks carried out by humans. An example of this would be Amazon's web development and inventory management tasks: each dollar spent improving its website and stocking many different titles creates a bigger return for the company thanks to its AI recommendation system. This will in general increase the demand for workers whose tasks are augmented.
Third, there is capital deepening. New AI systems are an investment that increases the stock of capital that workers use, making them more productive and increasing demand for labor through the same mechanism as above.
Finally, there is reinstatement, when the AI system creates completely new tasks such as developing machine learning systems or labeling datasets to train those systems. These new tasks will create new jobs and even industries, increasing labor demand.